2014 in L'Alpe di Siusi, fresh from the US and Australia.
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Gemini and humanity
The full moon
Current events
The US strikes Iran
Why now?
The background
Is ignorance bliss?
A similar playbook
Spy vs. Spy
The timeline
True Promise III
Iran’s SMO
The US strikes
Iran’s next move?
The big question
Across the region
As things stand
In conclusion
Greetings Everyone!
Years later I was with the family as we laid our father to rest at Arlington. We visited the war memorials and the Washington National Mall after the fact. We thought of our father and all the other Americans interred at Arlington who had sacrificed so much. Our dad was a good soldier in WWII and proud American. But like so many, he lost his faith in the government as the years rolled on. Walking through the monuments around the Mall, the memorial to the Vietnam fallen was particularly poignant. Perhaps it was because I remembered that war, the “four dead in O-hi-o”, the riots and protests against the war, the moratoriums on the college campuses – one of which we knew well, because our father taught there. And now, these days, history once again rhymes. Going back to Alfred E. Neuman, after having first become aware of Mad magazine, we all began to realize after a few years that there was, in fact, reason to worry. In a year or two, the boys among us all had to register for the draft. Yeah, I worried then. But soon after, the war ended, as did the draft. Nixon was gone. I didn’t have to go. I wasn’t born with star-spangled eyes. I knew that ‘fighting communism’ was not the reason we were in Vietnam. With that behind us boys, it was on to university. So, why start this letter on such a poignant and reflective note?
Gemini and humanity: We begin our look at Gemini this year with the following:
“When astrologers understand the true significance of the constellation Gemini, the Twins, and the dual forces which pour through this sign (the “forces in conflict” as they are sometimes called or “the quarrelling brothers”) and beat upon our planetary life, then the true method of resolving the dualities will be known.”[3]
Gemini governs the relations between all the polar opposites.[5] It is the mind itself that produces duality[6] and of this Mercury is the symbol and the orthodox ruler of the sign. The human mind itself is dual, with the lower mind on the mental plane being the primary culprit by means of fixating attention on outer forms, rather than ‘looking inward and upward’. But once again the factor of the antahkarana is at play here, because without that rainbow bridge of light having been constructed there is no interplay between the soul (meaning the Spiritual Triad/Higher Self) and the personality. The factor of the soul as most people think of it is something vague or even ‘outside of us’. This applies to nations as well as individuals. And the nature of the soul, as we have examined so many times, is most often seen – experienced – in moments of crisis. But once the antahkarana is somewhat completed, the nature of goodwill is also experienced. Just as it is with bodhichitta (kundalini/candali), there is aspiring goodwill (practiced by good people everywhere) and active goodwill, the latter being the expression of all bodhisattvas. Every bodhisattva lives in a state of what is called ‘Christ-consciousness’ in Alice Bailey’s books. To live in such a state of being is the goal of all of humanity, which is to express perfect love toward all beings. Without going further into Gemini for this letter, the preceding points bring us to the importance of the Gemini festival:
Bolding added. Implied in the quote is that this festival will be more universally accepted and practiced into the future, as humanity evolves past our present struggles. As an example, ask anyone on the street when the Festival of Goodwill is, and one would be met with blank stares, or perhaps be told it is in December, or some other religious holiday. In the Western nations we have liked to preach to the other nations the importance of human rights and just international relations. This has been especially true of the United States. Yet now the entire world sees that Washington, for all of its grand talk and ideals, does not practice what it preaches. The same is true of the Poles, also with a Gemini personality, and to a large extent the UK and Brussels. These are the four more important anchor points for Gemini in our present world situation. Yet, a new religion is supposed to emerge, one born not of faith, but of experience. And if we were to tell those Gemini nations it is to emerge in Russia…well, one might imagine the response, given our present circumstances. The Gemini nations in particular have a very negative view of Russia, at least among their establishments and leadership. Perhaps that is precisely one reason why that religion must emerge from Russia. But there is more to it. The suffering and purging of the Russian personality has produced other results:
“In mystical Russia, the seeds of the spiritual life are emerging to fresh beauty and a triumphant religious ideal is on its way to manifest.”[8]
Dependent on that emergence was the removal of the autocratic government under the old Soviet leadership, which passed with the demise of the Soviet Union. Of course, we have been told for years that Russia is still this dark and backwards place and that Putin is the worst sort of dictator. People will believe what they want, but a little investigation on the part of the Russophobes would reveal a nation that is back on its feet, is progressing, is seeking brotherhood instead of domination – regardless of the present military period – and is working to unite the nations of Eurasia along with other interested and like-minded nations. That its motives are not entirely altruistic is true. But then, what nation stands as a beacon of purity and truth? These are hard things to accept for peoples of nations so steeped in Russophobic propaganda, like the US, UK and other Western nations. But eventually, over the next immediate years, the truth about Russia will come out, and people’s curiosity will win out over negative narratives. The same is true of China. So, we have this full moon at the beginning of a new cycle. Over time it is said that the celebrations in the new religion will be based around the full moon periods each month. Each full moon represents the alignment between the soul and the personality. They are thus very reflective times of alignment:
“I have already indicated to you the form that the religion of the new age will take (See The Reappearance of the Christ). It will be built around the periods of the Full Moon, wherein certain great Approaches will be made to the world of reality, also around two periods of massed Approaches to be made at the time of the major eclipse of the moon and of the sun during the year. The two major Full Moon Approaches will be those of the Wesak Full Moon and the Full Moon of June—one hitherto consecrated to the Buddha Who embodied the wisdom of God, and the other to the Bodhisattva (known to Christians as the Christ) Who embodied the love of God.”[9]
Further:
“…the great day of the Buddha, the Wesak Festival (the Vaisakha Festival at the May full moon), and Easter Sunday, fixed by the April full moon, stood for the illuminated Buddha and the risen Christ, whilst the full moon of June was the Festival of Humanity making its major annual approach to God under the guidance of Christ. The other full moons in each month constitute lesser festivals in which certain spiritual qualities necessary for the expression of discipleship and initiation are considered and emphasised.”[10]
The full moon takes place on 11 Jun 2025 at 07:44 UTC (3:44 pm AEST). The full moon figure presents as an astrological moon wobble, with the Sun approaching a conjunction with Jupiter and Venus. (There is an astronomical moon wobble, but it is different.) Moon wobbles in astrology are generally stressful, particularly for relationships, since the Sun and the Moon’s nodes are involved. In this case the Sun will square the nodal axis, exact on the 13th. The chart portends stresses, potential for breakdowns, great pressures in relationships and separations caused by force majeure. The latter two items are indicated by midpoints (Mars=Sun/Pluto and Saturn=Uranus/Pluto). The Moon and Mercury are out-of-bounds (OOB), further adding stressors. The Moon OOB indicates heightened emotional states, or emotions expressed in ways that are out of the ordinary. It can also highlight relations with women (the Moon rules women) out of the norm or bring powerful women to the fore.
[The preceding paragraphs were written before the full moon.] This full moon gives a sort of preview into the coming quarter, beginning with the solar ingress into Cancer. It will be a restive and unpredictable quarter. And it will test all our notions of brotherhood, as well as putting goodwill into practice. There will be much to do and to heal once the two major conflicts in Ukraine, Israel and now Iran are done. The first two look to be ending soon, too, so long as the US stays out of the fray. We will have a look at why in our examination of events. So, without further ado, we may as well get stuck into what has happened since Wesak and what it all means going forward.
Current events:
Note: The points above left unaddressed will be explored in the next letter(s). From here on the focus will be solely on the war on Iran. This is the conflict that will define the world order going forward. It is existential for all sides. For the West a victory against Iran will upend the multipolar world order that has been emerging and would ensure the hegemony of the West for at least another generation, if not for the remainder of this century. If the Iran/Russia/China partnership prevails it will mark the end of the Zionist project as well as the end of Western hegemony. An Iranian victory over Israel will ensure the Israelis no longer represent a military threat to anyone else in the region. As we investigate what follows, keep in mind this war was never about Israel and Iran. A defeat of Iran is/was to be the means for weakening Russia and thus providing the pathway to ending China’s rise as the main challenge to Western domination of the world’s economies and trade. The events of 9/11 were to be the springboard for what is transpiring now. Since the start of this century there has been a fusion between the intelligence services of the US, UK and Israel in the pursuit of the West’s goals. Without further ado, we begin our examination of what has transpired thus far, keeping in mind the velocity of the news from all sides is rapid – also keeping in mind the propaganda on all sides is also intense. I have done my best to sort out the wheat from the chaff, as it were, in what follows.
The US strikes Iran: Yes, the topic is correct. The US, via its Israeli proxy, launched a military strike on Iran in the early hours of 13th of June, in what was called ‘Operation Rising Lion’. Netanyahu gave a speech to the Americans (He spoke in English.) at the outset of the operation, full of hyperbole and lies. You say it is not so that the US has struck Iran, that Israel dictates US foreign policy? Well, read on. But let us be clear: The Trump administration and members of Congress knew this attack was coming, greenlit Israel to commit the act and now seek to avoid responsibility under cover of plausible deniability. From a wider perspective the attack was instigated by the West, with governing centers (mainly banking cartels and corporate interests) in the City of London, Wall Street, Paris and a few satellite centers (see Diesen/Krainer video below). It is important to understand that Israel is not the main player here. Instead, Israel is the military outpost in West Asia that serves as the enforcement arm of what can loosely be called the Western Empire, which has been called the Anglo-American Empire in past letters.
Israel does the “wet work” of the Empire in West Asia. Iran stands in the way of maintaining Western hegemony and Iran’s collapse is seen as the linchpin for undermining Russia, China and BRICS. But Europe is impotent militarily at the moment. For Israel to succeed in Iran they require the support of the United States. Just as the Ukrainians have been used by the West in hopes of weakening Russia (a failed hope), so the Israelis are being used to strike a blow at Iran, seen to be the weak link in the BRICS bloc. Also it will help to realize this is a war that will escalate over time, probably with some lulls in between. The Empire will not go quietly into the night.
The IAEA gave the key Netanyahu was looking for. This is where matters become very concerning for Americans especially and the West in general. One of Trump’s main backers in his re-election bid was Peter Thiel, of Palantir. The key nuclear allegation that started the Iran-Israeli War was coaxed from a Palantir counter-intelligence algorithm:
“The IAEA Board’s ‘Non-Compliance’ Resolution on 12 June 2025 was the planned precursor for Israel’s ‘bolt from the blue’ strike on Iran the next day. Israelis say the plan to go to war with Iran was grounded in ‘the opportunity’ to strike, and not the intelligence that Iran was speeding towards a bomb (that was the peg for war)…The sudden claim of Iran being very close to a bomb (that seemingly jumped out of ‘nowhere’ to leave Americans puzzling how could it happen that — in the blink of eye, we are going to war — was subsequently refuted by IAEA Chief Grossi to CNN on 17 June — but only after the abrupt attack on Iran already had taken place.”
The IAEA had relied on Palantir’s Mosaic program that is used to predict nuclear threats. Note carefully the word ‘predict’. This stuff is straight out of the film Minority Report. What we have with this is AI connecting millions of dots (data points) into something that might happen, keeping in mind that the people who have trained the AI used in the Mosaic system are the same people who see everything in the world as a threat, with the Big Game necessarily resulting in a zero-sum outcome. In other words, Mosaic is not to be trusted, as it is already biased by the AI teachers. The example of Mosaic gives us a prime example of why AI should never be used in making decisions that affect people’s lives and especially in international relations. But continuing, the IAEA report:
“…was instrumentalized by E3/US to craft a resolution with baseless allegation of [Iranian] ‘non-compliance’; the same resolution was then utilized, as a final pretext, by a genocidal warmongering regime to wage a war of aggression on Iran and to launch an unlawful attack on our peaceful nuclear facilities.”
The background: We all know the old saying that the guilty dog barks the loudest. Immediately at the commencement of the attacks Marco Rubio (American Secretary of State) denied any US involvement. The administration stressed again and again that Israel acted alone, thought the timing was now and that the attack was ‘pre-emptive’. That is simply narrative, or in the vernacular, BS. The US and British have long sought regime change in Iran[12] (see the seven countries in five years video), after Western interests were tossed out of Iran during the Iranian Revolution of 1979. The British and Americans have had interests in control of Iran’s oil and gas, which led to Operation Ajax in 1953 and the westernization of Iran under the Shah. But the Iranian people suffered grievously under the Shah except for the minority of elites in Tehran and the middle classes centered in the cities. The images of people in Tehran during the Shah’s reign are what are constantly thrown up as examples of ‘how good life was in Iran’ under the Shah. The truth is certainly different.[13] People in rural Iran did not fare well at all under the Shah’s repressive regime.
In 1979 the majority of the Iranian people had had enough and the Shah was thrown out. And the West has sought regime change in Iran ever since, seeking to re-install another Western-friendly puppet government. Currently the Shah’s son, Reza Pahlavi, is being groomed as the next prospective ‘Iranian Juan Guaidó’. His daughter just married an American Jewish businessman. The preceding points give the basic background for why the Israelis are striking Iran today. The nuclear issue is simply a convenient cover story for what is actually yet another attempt at regime change. In March of this year Tulsi Gabbard reiterated the American intelligence assessment that Iran’s nuclear program is solely for domestic purposes. The fatwa against nuclear weapons in Iran is still in effect and binding. Trump was recently reminded of the fact in an interview and just blew off the intelligence assessment, saying he didn’t care what the intelligence said. For a refresher, the same argument was used by “W” Bush as the ‘necessity’ for going to war with Iraq, without any evidence of it, with all the nonsense (it was later found) about weapons of mass destruction. For the present tensions, it has been known for years Iran has no interest in developing nuclear weapons. They may be re-evaluating that stance after what has happened.
A similar playbook: What we are witnessing in Iran now began as in some ways a repeat of what happened in Russia with the drone attacks on their strategic nuclear bombers. Over eight months of preparation the Mossad set up clandestine drone manufactories close to Tehran and across Iran, the same as the Ukrainians did across Russia. The purpose of this was to take out Iran’s air defences and missile launchers prior to the Israeli attacks. Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite uplinks played a role, too. They were smuggled into Iran as well and they were activated at the start of the attack. They have been found next to Mossad rocket launchers inside Iran. Operation Rising Lion appears to have been quite successful in the initial phase, because on the 13th the IAF had been repeatedly bombing Iran with impunity. People in social media had been asking where the Iranian air defences were. Now we know. There are a few videos of Israeli drones hitting those air defences and missile launchers. In the initial Israeli attacks Iranian skies are wide open to Israel.
Still, for the most part Israel was not overflying Iran. They were attacking using Hellfire standoff missiles fired from Iraq and Syria. Those missiles were secretly supplied to Israel in the few days leading up to these attacks. The Hellfires were used to assassinate senior Iranian military officials and nuclear scientists in what was a decapitation strike. Those officials were unprotected in high-rise apartment blocks in Tehran, staying there for military exercises that had been well advertised, in what was an obvious lack of security, showing the Iranians were not expecting the attack. They had been lulled into a false sense of security with the negotiations over the nuclear deal. A few days later Trump casually admitted that the negotiators had all been killed, sarcastically saying, “They didn’t die of the flu. They didn’t die of covid.”
Spy vs. Spy: In asking how such a turn of events could have happened, we find out that in a carry-over from the Shah’s days there is a powerful pro-Western faction in northern Tehran that would like to see the ‘regime’ overthrown. There are also some Iranians who are turned by bribes due to the financial situation in Iran because of the sanctions the West has imposed on Iran since the 1979 revolution. There are also foreign operatives in Iran acting for Mossad, many of them from Afghanistan and India. It has been easy to commit acts of sabotage in Iran as a result. It is not difficult to imagine, therefore, how a clandestine drone factory could have been built and operated close to Tehran. Then we find out, recently, that the IAEA inspectors who had operated in Iran’s nuclear sector had been cozy with Israel. This came to light after the Iranians were handed a trove of thousands of pages of documents pilfered from Israeli intelligence services. Iran has sympathizers in Israel, too. Some people might say that it is only the Iranians who are claiming this and that it might be fake news, but then why are there no inspections on Israeli nuclear sites and why has Israel refused to sign on to the Nuclear NPT? The secret history of how Israel got the bomb is revealing in that regard. The IAEA then fabricated a report saying Iran had secret nuclear facilities, which was then used as the excuse by Netanyahu to launch the attack.
The timeline to this attack is now clear. The scheme was copy-and-pasted from a 2009 Brookings Institution report. The US has known about the Israeli plans for months, because they were involved in the planning, despite denials. Netanyahu claimed he informed Trump about the attack days before it happened. That was a bit of fog of war, but it goes back further. The so-called falling out between Trump and Netanyahu was a ruse. They had been cooperating. The negotiations over the nuclear deal were also a ruse, intended to keep the Iranians focused on the possibility of sanctions being lifted and avoiding the war that has now come to them. Netanyahu has openly stated Israel is
finally at war with Iran. And now the cat is out of the bag regarding American involvement. Trump cannot help himself. In a post on his Truth Social site he boasted that he gave Iran every chance, but told them that bad things would happen if Iranians would not come to a deal, and worse later. Israeli TV has also let it be known that the US greenlit the attack. American refuelling planes from Qatar are active over Syria. Netanyahu has given the Iranians an ultimatum, in what can only be called hutzpah, claiming that if Iran does not let Israel destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities, Israel will destroy Iran’s economy by destroying Iran’s oilfields. On Trump’s birthday Netanyahu again offered up yet another hyperbolic piece of rhetoric about Israel was protecting the world’s democracies by attacking Iran, again addressed to Americans. This is the same type of rhetoric we heard about Saddam Hussein’s supposed ‘weapons of mass destruction’, which were simply not there. One thing was clear: If Iran did not retaliate immediately then the threat would have become reality. Iran promised a devastating response. Later that day, Iran delivered.
Soon after the Israeli first wave of attacks happened Iran launched a batch of slow drones toward Israel over Iraqi and Jordanian airspace. This was not Iran’s response, and the Iranians denied having launched them. However there were reports of drones headed to Israel over Lebanese air space and there were alarms in Israel. The drone launch was a test with several objectives: To see who would intercept them (Jordan, the British and Americans), to gauge air defences, to deplete coalition air defences and test their efficacy and in general to see who will be supporting Israel. Thus far we have Qatar, Jordan, Syria, the US, Germany and the UK as the main belligerents in what could quickly become a wider war. If Israel hits Iran’s oil infrastructure that poses a direct threat to China’s energy security. The Russians are said to be monitoring the situation closely. Thus far the attacks have not resulted in major damage to Iran. The main nuclear facilities and missile bases are all intact (vid: 31:00 – 38:00) and deep underground. Russia has verified the same. The Russians are also present in Iran building a nuclear reactor for peaceful purposes. They have 250 personnel there at present. Putin says he has an ironclad agreement with Netanyahu and the US that they will not be touched, as far as agreements with Israel and the US go. What that means, then, if Israel keeps its word, that Iran will have a nuclear program in perpetuity.
The main damage to Iran thus far has been the deaths of hundreds of civilians with hundreds more injured, damage to the surface of the Natanz nuclear facility, the Arak nuclear facilty, the deaths of several top leaders in the IRGC (who have since been replaced), a few top nuclear scientists, some military facilities and damage to missile production facilities. We also have to realize there are a lot of inflated claims on the Israeli side especially. The fog of war is very thick at the moment. The rhetoric coming out of Israel is very reminiscent of what has been coming out of Kiev for the past few years – copious false claims and propaganda. Col. Lawrence Wilkerson has had long experience with Israelis and has made the point that they are consummate liars. We do not know much about the Iranian side, though we are told constantly that we cannot trust them. Just keep in mind, too, that neither Israel nor the United States will be happy until Iran in its current form is destroyed. Initially it appeared that the Zionists had the upper hand. But then, Iran kept its promise.
True Promise III: The intent of the Israeli initial attack was to cause chaos and the disruption of Iranian society. They had hoped for an uprising against ‘the regime’. They had hoped the assassination of the top leaders would paralyse the command and control of the Iranian military. They thought they had disabled all of Iran’s air defences. By assassinating the nuclear scientists they hoped to stop development of Iran’s nuclear program. Just so you know, nuclear physics is taught as a main course in Iranian universities. There are thousands of Iranian nuclear scientists (see Magnier video below). The first eight hours of Friday 13th looked dark indeed for Iran. Then, as if a switch was thrown, the air defences started to work. As it turned out most of the supposed hits on air defences and missile launchers were instead strikes on decoys. As has always been the case with the West (including Israel) the West has underestimated their opponents, while overestimating their own capabilities. Even in this war, Mossad had no idea Iran possessed such missile capabilities.
Over succeeding days Iran and Israel traded tit-for-tat strikes, slowly escalating the conflict. The port at Haifa has been destroyed along with the oil storage there. The oil storage is used to fuel Israel’s air force. Iran has lessened the amount of missiles it is sending to Israel, while at the same time the few that are used are hitting their targets with precision because the Israeli air defences appear to have been very much depleted. The Iranian attack on the night of the 16th was reported to be particularly deadly for the Israeli military and intelligence services, to the point where the Israelis are begging for Washington to intervene. Not only that, one Israeli cabinet member “categorically demands” that Washington enters the war. One doesn’t make such demands if one is winning. Thus far the Iranians have refused any help. Trump had to cut his visit to the G7 meeting short, having advised the Pentagon to be prepared for a briefing. There is a media blackout in Israel with advisories that taking pictures and videos of destruction and missile strikes are forbidden under penalty of prosecution. Still, some images manage to get through. The media crackdown is a sign that matters inside Israel have become less than sunny. In fact, life inside Israel has been turned upside-down. It is reported that people are fleeing Israel in yachts (the Escape Flotilla) – a dangerous and costly means of escape. Israelis are no longer welcomed in ports. They are definitely fleeing Tel Aviv. They are also trying to flee across land. There are somewhere around 10% of dual passport holders in Israel. It has been reported that there are requests by Israel through third nations with pleas for Iran to make a deal and to stop the bombing. The Iranians are having none of it. Israel is becoming, like Gaza, unliveable.
Iran’s SMO: The Iranians have essentially declared True Promise III to be a special military operation. Their aim at present is not simply to survive, but to demilitarize Israel. The military goal is to establish absolute deterrence against Israel. They will not stop bombing Israel until they have achieved that goal. How quickly the worm has turned. The Iranians also want the genocidal regime in Tel Aviv gone. The Iranians are being careful not to directly target American forces. But they will do so if they are directly attacked by the US. They are also targeting solely military/intelligence sites, no civilians as the Israeli propaganda claims. This was recently admitted by the ex-deputy head of Unit 8200, an intelligence site, on Israeli television, which caused a firestorm of protests. It is true that civilians die in war, but the Iranians are doing what they can to avoid it. All we hear in the West is the Iranians are targeting civilians, that they targeted a hospital – which is false, as the strike was on a military and intelligence site across from the hospital. At last count Israel has deliberately targeted and destroyed at least 36 hospitals in Gaza and two now in Iran. Stated again, the Iranians are targeting military sites, intelligence sites, infrastructure that supports the military and economic centers (the ability to pay for war). The Iranians instead have been preparing to go to war against the US for decades. Israel has never been the main goal. This is attritional warfare, with the first aim by Iran being to wear out Israel’s air defences:
“Iran is deliberately staggering its missile launches — sending small salvos of 3 to 5 missiles at irregular intervals, often every 30 to 60 minutes. This calculated shift in strategy is a form of psychological warfare, reminiscent of CIA-style waterboarding: not physical, but relentless. The aim is clear — to exhaust Israel’s interceptor stockpiles, strain air defence personnel through constant alertness, and wear down civilian morale by forcing repeated trips in and out of shelters. Iran appears to be testing the limits of both Israel’s operational endurance and its psychological resilience.
Israel’s defensive capability rests on a fleet of interceptors—small, fast missiles that neutralise enemy projectiles mid-air. These include Iron Dome (Tamir), David’s Sling (Stunner), and the long-range Arrow 2 and Arrow 3 systems, with the US THAAD batteries. Each serves a distinct purpose, but all share one vulnerability: they are expensive, finite, and slow to replenish.”
“As tensions between Israel and Iran reach new dangerous heights, the United States is conducting a massive military buildup in the Middle East, signaling potential involvement in the escalating conflict. Over 30 aerial refueling tankers, multiple F-35 and F-16 fighter jets, and even nuclear-powered aircraft carriers are being rushed to the region, suggesting Washington is preparing for a major operation. The Pentagon has not officially confirmed combat plans but is openly massing forces—a clear sign that the Trump administration expects further escalation… According to Associated Press, Washington has about 40,000 troops deployed in the Middle East… The Pentagon is clearly preparing for worst-case scenarios. The rapid deployment of large forces indicates that Washington is not just posturing but it is readying for war.”
There are a large number of American aerial refuelling tankers that have been transferred to European bases. In addition, the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier strike group has been called to the Middle East. Speculation online is rife that the Nimitz is being called there to be the victim of a false flag attack, at which Iran would be blamed. Even a former US intelligence official is warning about the possibility. The Nimitz is set to be decommissioned next year. The purpose would be to drag American into the war. But the Iranians have been quite clear in that they want to avoid US involvement in the war, even though they know Washington was involved in the planning for Operation Rising Lion. Trump is under considerable pressure from a majority of members of Congress and from many of the 100 or so Jewish billionaires in the US to enter the fray. For such actions and talk to be flying around now matters on the ground in Israel must be dire. What is the timeline, then? If Trump will be pushed into war we can expect if in the next couple of weeks. If that happens, what can we expect? Well, what has been expected by many of the better analysts all along has happened: The US struck the nuclear facilities in Iran in the early morning hours if 22 June. Of course, social media is alight with talk of WWIII, but we need to step back and have a more sober look at what is actually happening.
The US strikes: Beginning at 02:38 IRST the United States attacked three Iranian nuclear facilities – Fordow, Isfahan and Natanz – the three main sites that were used for uranium enrichment:
“…in an operation called “Midnight Hammer”, Seven Northrop B-2 Spirit bombers of the 509th Bomb Wing flew non-stop from Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri. Six B-2s dropped 12 GBU-57A/B MOP bombs on the Fordow facility. Two MOPs were also dropped on Natanz. Additionally, submarines fired 30 Tomahawk missiles at the Natanz and Isfahan sites.”
Several items were missing from the strike itself – no mention of any Iranian air defences, no observations of any aircraft in Iranian skies at the time, no radiation leakage after the fact, no massive devastation being evident at the sites. There is reason to believe the Iranians knew the attack was coming. In the days preceding the attack all of the enriched material and the centrifuges were removed from the sites and placed in safe locations. The three sites were empty. The entrances to the sites had all been filled with earth. It is as if the Iranians let the attack happen, knowing no real damage would be done. Reports on the ground from Iran have stated the underground facilities were untouched. It is worth noting that up to this point the Iranians have been avoiding striking American assets and bases. This is very similar to the Russian approach in Ukraine, where NATO forces by themselves have not been directly targeted by the Russians, in order to avoid a wider war with NATO. As for the American strike on Iran, it has all the appearances of being simply a piece of theatre, or symbolic. But it is already backfiring seriously on the Zionist coalition. So, when it comes to ‘taking out’ Iran’s nuclear facilities, there is no joy in Israel today. The mighty TACO has struck out.[14] That very night Iran launched one of its strongest bombardments on Israel yet. And the result of the US strikes? Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of Russia recently summarized it:
“What have the Americans accomplished with their nighttime strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran?
1. Critical infrastructure of the nuclear fuel cycle appears to have been unaffected or sustained only minor damage.
2. The enrichment of nuclear material — and, now we can say it outright, the future production of nuclear weapons — will continue.
3. A number of countries are ready to directly supply Iran with their own nuclear warheads.
5. The US is now entangled in a new conflict, with prospects of a ground operation looming on the horizon.
6. Iran’s political regime has survived — and in all likelihood, has come out even stronger.
7. The people are rallying around the country’s spiritual leadership, including those who were previously indifferent or opposed to it.
8. Donald Trump, once hailed as ‘president of peace,’ has now pushed the US into another war.
9. The vast majority of countries around the world oppose the actions of Israel and the United States.
10. At this rate, Trump can forget about the Nobel Peace Prize — not even with how rigged it has become. What a way to kick things off, Mr. President. Congratulations!”
Iran’s next move?: We will soon find out how the Iranians will respond to the strike. The one thing they will probably avoid is hitting American bases in the region, except symbolically. In fact, Pepe Escobar, from his contacts in the region say that one of the biggest objectives is to end the wars in Lebanon and Gaza. In addition there will be a revision of Iran’s nuclear objectives, with increased enrichment likely. There will be targeting of Mossad and missile barrages on Tel Aviv, Haifa and Dimona if Israel continues to strike Iran. The strike has brought the US directly into the war on the side of Israel, even though the US has always been a co-belligerent behind the scenes. Iranians are not reactive. They take their time, investigate and decide in consensus what should be done. They have their system, and their strategy is very well planned. One thing we know for certain, now that the US has entered the war, is that Israel will systematically be destroyed so long as they keep striking Iran, hoping to draw the US more firmly into the fray. That Israel will be destroyed was stated by an IRCG general. My advice would be, if you know people in Israel, tell them to leave if they can, at least until this is over, There is a bit of propaganda in what the general said, but it could also be fact if the US decides Israel has to fight Iran to the last Israeli in order to spare American troops. The American public is firmly against going to war for Israel. The American people do not see Iran as a threat. There is a silver lining in the Iranian strikes, though, besides the emotional satisfaction it is giving to the world to see Israel being bombarded: The genocide in Gaza will soon stop, probably about the time Tel Aviv looks like Gaza. The damage being done to Israel is catastrophic.
American bases in Qatar, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia lie directly across the Persian Gulf from Iran and would have no time to scramble from an Iranian missile barrage. It only takes a mere 12 minutes from launch to impact in Israel for Iran’s ballistic missiles. Those bases just listed would have less than a few minutes. The consequences for American troops at those bases would be catastrophic. And there would be no warning. The Iranians have planned for this scenario and the missiles are on standby. If the US attacks Iran directly then all of the American bases in the region would come under Iranian attack, as well as the carrier strike groups at sea. This is perhaps a big reason as to why the US hesitates about entering the conflict directly. The bases in Cyprus would fare little better than Israel has. In fact, there are signs that both the Americans and the Israelis are trying to deescalate and climb down from the war. But they want the Iranians to request the de-escalation first, as a face-saving measure. The Iranians are not interested. The Israelis and Americans started it. Trump and Netanyahu can climb down.
The big question: The nagging question on everyone’s mind is whether or not the US will enter the war on Israel’s side, full force. If Israel fails to subdue Iran on its own then the Western powers appear to be ready to use more drastic means. Either way, Trump is boxed into a corner:
“Now Trump stands poised on the knife’s edge of one of his most historically critical decisions—whether to betray the mandate of the American people and consign his second term and dwindling legacy to the trash heap of history, or to pull back on the strings of Miriam Adelson and other donors and show a spine in standing up for the real ‘America First’ vision he promised to all. As of this writing, there are reports of urgent meetings in the Pentagon surrounding precisely the issue of Israel’s request for the US to officially enter the war to ‘finish off Iran’.
Yanis Varoufakis writes:
This is Trump’s Waterloo. He posed as the Leviathan who would bring a stealthy Peace, a smart Deal that averts a war with Iran. Then, with one more gross violation of international law, Netanyahu puts him in a little box: For either Trump knew of the attack, in which case he is no more than Netanyahu’s stooge. Or he didn’t know, which begs the question why he didn’t know and how will he react to being treated like a fool by Netanyahu. Either way, Trump’s strongman, dealmaking image is now toast. Either way, he goes down in history as yet another US President that Netanyahu bent to his genocidal will.”
It is indeed Trump’s Waterloo. He has called for Iran’s unconditional surrender, the equivalent of waving the proverbial red flag in front of a bull. The Iranians will never surrender. Nor will they return to the negotiating table. The entire world has seen how the United States and its European cohorts (the JCPOA E3) are not to be trusted. The TACO nickname for Trump has stuck. It is not hard to imagine that Trump will cave in to the donor demands and the neocon establishment momentum and go all-in with military intervention in the region. Reports of urgent meetings at the Pentagon are supported by on-the-ground commercial sources. So, the world hangs on the razor’s edge, still. Which way will the cut be made? Will Trump and Congress betray the American people? Or will Trump show a spine? If he follows through with Washington establishment plans the region will explode. The only voices to whom he is listening are his close circle of White House staff. Not even Tulsi Gabbard gets through to him. Trump does not read any intelligence reports. The delusion in the White House is complete. We have not seen anything like this since the “W” years. But the strategy for Washington remains: Regime change in Iran. What have the neocons and Zionists achieved thus far with their war on Iran?
Across the region the public of each nation cheer as they watch the Iranian missiles flying into Israel. In Yemen Ansar Allah have set up huge TV screens in the main squares where thousands flood in and watch the unfolding events. Bars across the region have their TV’s turned to the unfolding events and people are cheering with each hit from an Iranian missile. The Sax Man of Lebanon serenades the missiles as they fly across Lebanese air space. Passengers on a plane flying over Saudi Arabia filmed Iranian missiles taking off as they passed the clouds on their way to Israel. Ben Gurion Airport is closed and all outbound flights are cancelled for fears there would be a huge exodus from Israel, while over 150,000 Israelis were stuck overseas. It may become impossible to leave from Israel by air if the war continues. The Iranians have hit Ben Gurion Airport hard. The exodus from Israel in Cyprus the other day was 35,000 strong. Cyprus is in danger of becoming the new Israel. And most especially the people of Gaza finally begin to feel at least a glimmer of hope that the genocide in Gaza and the West Bank may finally soon come to an end.
As things stand everyone is waiting to see what the Americans will do. If the US and UK enter the war overtly (they are already in it covertly and by supporting the Zionists with military aid) then all bets are off. The region will go up in flames in all likelihood. If you are British or American and you are religious, pray that doesn’t happen. Leave it between Iran and Israel. We all need to meditate that peace and goodwill prevail. The Zionists have chosen their lot, both in the US and in Israel. The price they pay will be steep. The wider world no longer harbors any sense of goodwill toward them – not since 7 Oct 2023 and especially now. But the signs that America will enter the war on the side of Israel are all there:
Three carrier battle groups will be in the region within the next couple of weeks. That is our timeline. Coalition aircraft have been removed from bases in the Persian Gulf and have been relocated elsewhere. The refuelling aircraft are all in place. Nation after nation are telling their nationals to leave Israel and Iran. American embassy staff are being pulled from the region. There is a steady stream of heavy transport flights going back and forth across the Atlantic and into West Asia and Cyprus. These are all signs that military action is immanent. But be aware that the Iranians have planned for this very scenario since the Iran-Iraq War.
Iranian society across the board is united behind their leadership. Any hopes by the West of fomenting an uprising against the Iranian leadership by starting an American-style shock-and-awe campaign will fail. Bombing tends to unite nations that are bombed. Sy Hersh posted a piece about American plans for such a campaign, perhaps starting this weekend. His sources are pretty good. What a way to start a solstice! [See the addendum at the end.] Trump is under probably the most pressure of his life. If he goes to war he will lose his base. If he doesn’t go to war he will lose much of his donor base, or perhaps worse. We won’t go to the ‘worse’ bit. And if he dawdles and tries to hedge against going to war, there may be some ‘incident’ to be blamed on the Iranians that will force his hand. Israel would have no compunction against committing a false flag that would kill Americans. Trump may not be given a choice. And Congress will be exerting all sorts of pressure on Trump to enter the fray. But his best course of action would be to stay out of it and tell the Israelis to sue for peace with Iran and admit defeat. Israel is losing this war, and Trump does not like losers.
There is quite a lot of fearmongering about the use of tactical nukes on Iran. There are factions in Washington and Israel who would do so without so much of a thought when it becomes clear that Israel’s existence is at threat and that the Rising Lion has become a dying beast. But the use of nukes seems unlikely. The Russians are in Iran working on a reactor for peacetime purposes. And that reactor is close to the other Iranian nuclear facilities as well as Tehran. Israelis have already been warned against it. And to use a nuke against Iran ensures the same will happen to Tel Aviv, which would be the end of Israel. The fallout would affect the entire region, and everyone knows it. Talk of nukes is meant to scare the Iranians. The Iranians don’t appear to be worried. The Iranians have their own ‘nuclear option’, too, except no nukes would be involved. The first step would be to hit all the American bases in the region – shock-and-awe – which would mean thousands of American casualties in the first days. At the same time they would close the Strait of Hormuz. Along with that the Houthis would again close the Red Sea. Then we would see who cries ‘Uncle!’ first. The Persian Gulf is lined with mountains that contain missile bases buried deep in those mountains. The only way to effectively rout them out is to invade. The latter will never happen. The West is unable to field such an army these days. And the West does not have the industrial capacity to support any sort of a war long term with Iran.
Addendum: Rather than rewrite the preceding paragraphs, we all know now that Trump called for an immediate ceasefire after the Iranians bombed the American Centcom base in Qatar. The Israelis grudgingly agreed. The Iranians waited to see what the Israelis would do, knowing the Israelis never follow ceasefires. The Iranians were not consulted about the ceasefire. Trump (meaning the American security establishment and donors) called the ceasefire because Israel was nearly out of missile interceptors and was being pounded by Iran. In effect, Trump commanded Bibi to stop the attacks on Iran. Iranians were taking their licks, too, but Israel was far worse off. It is a tiny state and could not continue as it was. Now all sides will be feverishly re-arming, re-evaluating and re-stocking for the next round. Meanwhile, the Israelis have taken to beating up on Syria once again instead of striking Iran. Do not be under any illusions. There will be a lull for a while, however long or short, but the following fact remains for the West: So long as Iran stays in place the West’s hegemony is threatened. This ceasefire is the end of the beginning of this war. The war will flare up again. And if there is a pattern to what has happened over the past five years, Mossad and the CIA will be looking at assassinating the top leadership in Iran and sowing divisions within Iran.
In this round the Iranians won. The nation is united behind their leadership. They stood up to Israel and the US and showed they were capable of fending them off. When they attacked the air base in Qatar they sent a signal to Washington – hands off or the next time there will be casualties. All the Gulf States got the message, too. But the US also knew they were not at risk from Iran. Iran and Washington were both agreed that they would not be attacking each other. The attacks on both parties were symbolic and political theater. The US and Iran now both have off-ramps and can declare victories. For Israel that is another story. The Israelis are badly wounded as a state. Soon the news of the real devastation they have experienced will begin to leak out. They are frightened, angry (especially at Trump), humiliated and beginning to realize their true place – as a US proxy instead of the ‘chosen people’. Their arrogance will soon give way to recrimination. Trump has already been threatened by an Israeli on Twitter/X: “One symbolic bomb in Washington will remind Trump that he is not omnipotent and [will] restore our national honor.” For much of the world Israel has never had any honor. But this goes to show what we have examined in past letters: Israel is a proxy for Western interests in the region, little more. Washington ultimately calls the shots. It was a large humiliation for Israel, and they will not soon forget it. They fully expected Trump to come to the rescue. Maybe he did, for now.
Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities remain basically untouched, much to Trump’s consternation. Iran’s parliament has just suspended cooperation with the IAEA. The highly enriched uranium stock Iran had produced has been squirreled away somewhere and the Western powers have no idea where it is. Uranium enrichment will proceed, within months at most, and now more likely in secret. The Iranians have been able to test all of their missile systems in battle conditions and will hereon refine their capabilities, as well as accelerating production. Those facilities are also largely untouched. The Israeli and CIA sleeper cells in Iran are being cleaned up, so spying in Iran will be more difficult for the West. The world saw Iran’s capabilities and rallied around Iran. Israel’s weaknesses were exposed for all to see, too. Western air defences were shown to be largely ineffective, also. And maybe now Iranians will be a little more open to Russian and Chinese help, instead of being prickly. Iran’s national chart shows Aries Sun, Leo rising, Gemini Moon and Uranus squaring their horizon axis. They are perhaps a little too independent and hard-headed for their own good. Still, they are celebrating their successes, while we do not hear of celebrations in Israel, or in the US. But knowing the perfidy of Washington and Israel, celebrations in Tehran may be short-lived. And one of the bigger questions arises: Will Netanyahu survive this, or Trump either? Only time will tell. We will examine all this more closely in the next letter.
In conclusion, for now we wait and see what will happen in West Asia. There is so much more we could add here, but with the above we have the basic outline. Taking a step back and looking at the wider view, the West cannot prevail in their efforts to collapse Iran and take control of the region. There is not the public will, nor the political will, nor even the material capacity to win a protracted conflict against the Russia-China-Iran partnership. The saddest part of this is that our political leadership in the West apparently lacks any sense of goodwill or indeed any knowledge except for the few brave souls who stand up and speak out. Perhaps Alfred E. Neuman has been advising the weaker leaders – the Starmers, Von der Leyens, Macrons, the Merzs and their kind – or perhaps they are trapped in their Mad comic book fantasies about their sense of importance and influence, unable to wake up to the calling of their souls to promote international goodwill instead of the Western sense of self-importance and entitlement constantly mouthed by the Western elitists. That will fade over time. Meanwhile, the good citizens of the world look on appalled at what is taking place. They are slowly being awakened to the realities of life that have been foisted upon them. They cry for freedom and peace. That cry invokes the souls of humanity, and in turn spiritual Light pours in. Who knows what will be born once these conflicts end, as they surely will? Once Zionism dies its rightful death, then West Asia will be free. It will not be ‘from the river to the sea’. It will be the entire MENA region that will once again be free to breathe and prosper – to rediscover their sense of brotherhood between nations and cultures once again. And that will be a profound gift and promise to all of humanity. May peace prevail on Earth.
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